Bitcoin / 15-minute market
SIMULATED BTC INDEX
ILLUSTRATIVE UP / DOWN ASK
WINDOW CLOSES IN
BOT POSITION
Price & decisions
Decision timeline
Click an event to replay that momentPrice & perspective
Bitcoin · live exchange spot
Coinbase BTC-USD spot — not Kalshi BRTI settlement
Forecast values and provenance
Model direction changes · ● Kronos · ○ GBM · green UP / red DOWN · ◇ value entry request (order intent, not a confirmed trade)
Model signals
No current consensusWaiting for a recorded BTC sample
Recorded sample age: unavailable
Direction change details
Select a direction-change dot. Dots reference Coinbase ticks or explicitly approximate historical closes, never bot BRTI prices.
How this chart works
Unverified · waiting for timing data
Fixed on — the chart holds one 15-minute window. Turn Fixed off for broader history.
Sampled estimates, not live tick forecasts or trades. Probability follows the shown direction.
Models estimate window settlement, not immediate price slope. Recording time is shared; individual inference times are unknown. Neutral = 50/50. Neutral or invalid samples reset the flip baseline. Auto price fits the visible trace with padding, excluding off-scale reference and indicator values. Price zoom defaults to Tight fit · 1× to include visible extrema with padding. Reset price restores Tight fit · 1× without moving time. Fit window restores the active 15-minute window and Tight fit · 1×. Tighter/magnified choices may crop extremes. Drag, swipe, horizontal wheel and Time range remain available for exploration. Wider 1M views fetch real earlier candles in bounded pages (up to 10 hours); unavailable periods remain blank. Camera and zoom apply to this visit only; at most 4,000 ticks, 660 1M candles or 300 other-interval candles retained. Missing periods are not filled. Hollow candles are partial: missing source buckets or received ticker updates, not all trades; filled candles are completed historical candles. Coinbase batches ticker matches. No settlement result is inferred from this cross-source comparison.